House prices in much of the U.S. will bottom out in fourth quarter

The Wall Street Journal, reporting information stated by Moody's Economy.com most recent report predicts that the the bottom will finally be reached in the fourth quarter of this year and then from there? Things are expected to start to move upward, not everywhere though which makes me wonder if there are additional areas predicted to not improve until 2010 or 2011:

On average, house prices nationwide will hit bottom in this year's fourth quarter at a level 36% below the peak reached in the first quarter of 2006, the report says. The price measure is based on the Fiserv Case-Shiller index.

But some areas will be hit much harder. For instance, the Naples-Marco Island, Fla., area is expected to bottom out in the fourth quarter of 2010 with prices 70% below the peak. The report projects that peak-to-trough declines for metro areas will be 66% in Miami, Fla., 63% in Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif., 58% in Phoenix, 56% in Las Vegas, 53% in Los Angeles, 38% in Washington and 33% in New York. Within those metro areas, different neighborhoods are likely to show very divergent performances; the most desirable areas near good schools and jobs are faring much better than other places.

The peak-to-trough decline will exceed 10% in nearly 62% of the nation's 381 metro areas, the report says, and the drop will be above 20% in about 100 metro areas.